SINGAPORE – The guts says Singapore Derby-Queen Elizabeth II Cup hero High Knight is the horse to beat in Saturday’s (Nov 21) $1 million Group 1 Singapore Gold Cup, however the head says in any other case.
In any case, custom is towards the topweight successful Singapore’s premier basic.
Most of the time, the honours have gone to lightweights, as a result of the handicap circumstances make the race extra intriguing. Eight of the final 10 winners carried 53kg and beneath.
The final topweight to win was Good Wager with 59kg in 2002.
So, can High Knight break the jinx with 57kg because the highest-rated contender within the capability area of 16?
I reckon he can.
He’s the stayer of the second and is worthy to be named a reserve in subsequent month’s prestigious Worldwide Group 1 Hong Kong Mile at Sha Tin.
If in case you have seen the best way he rattled house from method again to seize the $400,000 Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Cup in his final begin on Oct 31, you may be vouching for the Falcon Racing No. 7 Secure-owned galloper on Saturday.
He made his opposition appear like they have been standing nonetheless. The additional 200m will go well with him to a T.
However, not like set-weight or weight-for-age occasions, he must concede weight all spherical within the Gold Cup.
And, as they are saying in racing, weight can cease a practice.
Whereas his class might pull him by, I’m choosing his up-and-coming stablemate Huge Hearted, who ought to have an enormous say as one of many joint bottomweights carrying simply 50kg.
Additionally ready by main coach Michael Clements, Huge Hearted gained on QE II Cup day over the identical 1,800m journey.
He carried 54.5kg to zoom house in 1min 48.72sec, in comparison with High Knight’s 1min 52.33sec, albeit on a wetter monitor just a few races later.
He certified with the minimal 50kg. The 7kg could make a whole lot of distinction in a handicap race over the two,000m journey.
Granted, it’s a large leap from Class 3 to Cup degree, however Huge Hearted is a horse going locations. His newest win was his fifth in 11 begins.
The horse he beat, Ocean Crossing, will get in with solely 51kg, an enormous 8kg reprieve from his final outing. He’s one other full of life light-weight likelihood.
His coach, Lee Freedman, has three different high candidates – final 12 months’s Gold Cup winner Mr Clint (55.5kg), final 12 months’s Derby winner Solar Marshal (55kg) and Minister (54.5kg).
Minister was runner-up within the QE II Cup , whereas Mr Clint completed a improbable third.
Coach Shane Baertschiger’s Aramaayo is one other high contender on his Kranji Mile-Raffles Cup successes, however can even be giving some weight with 56kg on his again. Whereas elegant as properly, he wants monitor to carry out his finest.
If High Knight wins the Gold Cup, he’ll most probably be voted Horse of the Yr.
However will his class or custom prevail tomorrow? Allow us to see.