Final
week, Sleepy Eyes Todd ($10) and Knicks Go ($5.60) offered two wins on the Breeders’
Cup Saturday card. The previous had been tempo compromised in his earlier begin and
made a major cutback within the Lafayette Stakes for the 1½-length win.
Tomorrow at Aqueduct, Rinaldi exits a tricky tempo situation within the Mohawk Stakes and
cuts again barely on grass within the one-mile Artie Schiller Stakes. The 4-year-old gelding is
the “greatest guess” of the 5 picks throughout Aqueduct, Churchill Downs and Del Mar listed beneath.
Click on
right here for Aqueduct, Churchill and Del Mar Entries.
Aqueduct Race 5: Maiden
The Reds ran fourth in his Sept. 27 profession debut at Belmont, shedding by six lengths
to Extremely Motivated with solely an 85 pace determine on TimeformUS.
Take a look on the chart although and examine the primary two finishers. Extremely
Motivated took the Nyquist Stakes in his subsequent begin by a smashing 4¼ lengths
with a 109 on TimeformUS on the Breeders’ Cup Friday undercard. Additionally, the
runner-up Recognized Agenda broke his maiden domestically Nov. 8 with a 102 TimeformUS
determine.
The Reds made an extended, sustained bid in that Sept. 27 effort. His solely
fault was breaking slowly and giving up 9½ lengths earlier than transferring.
With expertise underneath his belt and a barely longer distance now, he’ll
enhance. The Reds makes for a superb guess at his morning line of 5-1.
Aqueduct Race 9: $100,000 Artie Schiller Stakes
As said within the introduction, Rinaldi cuts again barely after a tempo
compromised journey within the Mohawk Stakes at Belmont. In that race, Rinaldi
initially made the entrance earlier than an keen Somelikeithotbrown went for the lead
in a decided method.
Somelikeithotbrown’s ways made Rinaldi open up on the sector.
The primary two fractions had been 23.72 and 47.67.
On paper, 23.72 and 47.67 will not be quick fractions for a 1 1/16-mile turf race, however
the course was enjoying gradual for the cardboard and TimeformUS labels the half-mile time in
crimson. Earlier within the card, the primary two fractions within the Ticonderoga Stakes for fillies and mares had been 25.11 and 51.05 on the similar distance, backing up the quick tempo label for
the Mohawk.
Given the quick tempo, it’s comprehensible Rinaldi stop within the stretch.
Within the
Artie Schiller, he tasks to safe the lead comfortably on this one-mile turf
race. The final time Rinaldi set the tempo, he received the West Level Stakes at
Saratoga by 1½ lengths with a 121 on TimeformUS. He solely must repeat that
quantity right here.
If Rinaldi doesn’t fall beneath 9-5, he’s the selection.
Churchill Downs Race 9: Allowance
In a aggressive race the place the favourite Ocean Breeze reveals just one win in
six begins, it is smart to go looking elsewhere.
The logical various is Palio Flag, who reveals one win out in three begins. However
she got here shut in each losses, solely lacking an Aug. 9 Saratoga allowance by ¾ of
a size and a Sept. 24 Churchill Downs allowance by the identical margin. Out of
the latter race, the winner Regal Magnificence received a Keeneland optionally available claimer subsequent
time.
Dealing with one mile is probably going not an issue for Palio Flag, a 3-year-old
daughter of Curlin out of the A.P. Indy mare Personal Ensign, who received three
routes in her profession.
If she stays the second alternative, Palio Flag is the worth possibility.
Churchill Downs Race 10: $200,000 Mrs. Revere Stakes (G2)
As said within the Thursday publish, Princess Grace deserves consideration regardless of
shedding to Gorgeous Sky within the Valley View Stakes (G3) at Keeneland.
Princess Grace made the primary transfer into a quick tempo and blew all her power by
opening up in mid-stretch. On this spot, she is possible to trace the anticipated
chief Optimistic Hazard in second or third by means of a tender tempo and get first run
as soon as once more. If she makes that very same transfer, she may reserve sufficient power to
final this time.
In distinction, Gorgeous Sky and How Ironic are presumably compromised by the tempo
situation this time, though all three runners benefit spots in multi-race wagers.
For an fascinating Win/Place guess although, Princess Grace is the suitable one from a
tempo and early place standpoint. She is able to transferring ahead in her
fourth begin.
Del Mar Race 6: Allowance Optionally available Claimer
Secret Contact may seem outclassed on this spot after operating second in a
$32k claiming race at Santa Anita, however there are positives notes about his final
two begins.
For one, he received an area $16,000 claimer two begins in the past by 7¾ lengths earlier than
making that class leap to $32,000 at Santa Anita. He solely misplaced the latter race by
half a size, with a wholesome 5¼ lengths again to the third-place Conquest
Cobra. In different phrases, he dealt with the category rise.
Secret Contact was claimed twice in a row in his final two begins. When a horse is
a scorching buy in claiming races, it means she or he is doing nicely bodily. Additionally,
the brand new connections choose to take away the claiming tag, which is a giant signal of confidence.
If nothing else, Secret Contact’s final two TimeformUS figures of 106 and 109 are
aggressive towards this group. If he stays at 3-1 or greater, he’s the selection.