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Ruby Walsh has forged his eye over a packed Saturday of racing, selecting out his finest bets at Naas, Haydock and Ascot.
Talking on the most recent episode of Paddy Energy’s From The Horse’s Mouth podcast, our resident jockey-turned-pundit has made 10 alternatives to see – together with an outsider in our second Millionaire Chase qualifier.
Gars En Noir is in nice type. He’s a fantastic massive horse however he’s solely a novice till the top of this month so when December rings in he’s in open firm. He’s just a little bit betwixt and between as a four-year-old. Willie Mullins gained’t go chasing with him as a four-year-old so he’s a chaser for this time subsequent 12 months who will run on this race. There’s one other race fairly just like this one at Limerick at Christmas and I think about he’ll go there as nicely, however he’s a horse for the long run. He’s a horse we like however he has only a few choices over hurdles.
I might see Gars En Noir successful a race like this however I feel CALL ME LYREEN is the darkish one. He sprung a shock a Tramore when he gained and once more at Sligo. He’s was first string however unfancied at Tranmere and was second string at Sligo. I feel for the long run I’d most positively need Gars En Noir out of this race.
I feel it’s a four-runner race with 4 frontrunners. Will probably be a helter-skelter contest and it’ll come all the way down to stamina – wherein case, FAKIR DOUDAIRIES is the strongest stayer out of the 4 of them.
Any Second Now has to hold prime weight and hasn’t run since he gained the Paddy Energy Chase at Naas again in February. That was getting used as a prep for the English Grand Nationwide over 2 miles so the journey shouldn’t inconvenience him, however it’s his first run of the season and he has loads of weight to divulge to some unexposed horses.
Willie Mullins runs Dandy Magazine, who hasn’t run in nearly a 12 months so you would need to suppose he’ll enhance for the run. Pink Gerry has been very spectacular for Noel Meade – solely a four-year-old – and I truly like one other of Noel’s – DINARD ROSE. Solely a four-year-old, however rather more hardened and was very spectacular at Thurles on the final begin. I feel, with 10st 1lb on her again, she’ll be the one for me.
ARRIVEDERCI beat Warfare Lord nicely at Wetherby three weeks in the past and he’ll affirm that type. So when you had been pushing me, Arrivederci, however provided that you had been pushing me for one thing.
Kim Bailey and David Bass are completely flying and have Imperial Aura on this whereas Actual Metal makes his debut for Paul Nicholls, having been skilled by Willie Mullins. He ran a blinding race within the Gold Cup, and when you’d stopped the race delivering for dwelling you’d have stated “wow, the horse within the crimson on the skin gained” however he didn’t, he light to complete sixth so you would say he didn’t keep. He pulled up within the Pink Mills Chase, he gained in Down Royal and he gained at Thurles final 12 months. He gained first time up, which might be a great factor, however he could be a little bit in-and-out. Going right-handed positively fits him so he might be a large participant.
However I simply suppose perhaps ITCHY FEET. He received a run below his belt at Aintree, unseated within the Marsh Novices’ Chase final 12 months and whichever means you have a look at it, Imperial Aura ran in a handicap at Cheltenham. No less than Itchy Ft contested a graded race, and so did Actual Metal. I’m going for just a little bit of sophistication and possibly going for the youthful horse right here. Olly Murphy thinks a helluva lot of Itchy Ft.
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That is nice race on paper, however I swore once I walked out of Navan earlier this month that there can be no means I’d oppose THE JAM MAN over hurdles. He bolted up within the Troytown off a mark of 129, and he runs off 148 right here – Maxine O’Sullivan’s declare brings that again all the way down to 143, so he’s successfully 14lbs increased than when he gained the Troytown over fences.
He’s a small little horse, and I do know he jumped nicely within the Troytown however you would need to suppose that hurdles might make him a greater horse. I simply wouldn’t oppose him – whether or not which means he wins or not… you’d should say he has an opportunity. Relegate will not be mad about leaping hurdles.
LAURINA beat Minella Indo first outing at Gowran Park final 12 months then went to Leopardstown and made a number of errors and bled. She then bled in Sandown as nicely, or broke a blood vessel, so I’m a agency believer – although I don’t have the science to again it up – that recent horses, on the primary run of the season, is when they’re least prone to break a blood vessel. I’m going together with her, getting all the burden.
Daryl Jacob has to experience Bristol De Mai the way in which he rode him in 2017 and 2018, which is actually going as quick as Bristol De Mai can go from flag fall, if he’s to have any probability. He’s getting just a little older, however he loves Haydock so there’s no level saying you don’t fancy him. I’m not sure about Clan Des Obeaux. He’s bolted in in two King Georges however I’m simply unsure about him.
I do like LOSTINTRANSLATION. Clearly one thing went flawed within the King George when he was pulled up, after which he had a wind op. He ran a cracking race within the Gold Cup and he gained this final 12 months. I do know he’s the favorite, however when you stated to me three years in the past which you could go to Haydock and experience certainly one of these, I’d be placing on Lostintranslation’s colors.
I feel we’ve picked the toughest race to place because the Millionaire qualifier, for apparent causes. The highest six within the betting are all operating off career-high marks, so when you suppose there’s an improver in there that may justify their career-high mark, then so be it.
Out of the remainder – as everybody will get older, they get slower so Gino Path over 2 miles, at 13 years outdated, might be too sluggish. That solely leaves MARRACUDJA, so I’m gong for him, William Marshall is claiming 7lbs off him, which brings him all the way down to 10st 3lbs. He ran disappointingly within the Haldon Gold Cup behind Greaneteen however I don’t know if it was that dangerous and also you solely have to return to final season the place he was fifth on this race. He was third behind Defi Du Seuil within the Grade 1 at Ascot – the Matchbook Clarence Home – and he beat Hawk Excessive at Wetherby on the second day of the Christmas assembly there so the shape could be there.
Extra High ideas for the Millionaire Chase qualifier
Don Poli might probably be rejuvenated sufficient to win a race like this, however he seemed extremely sluggish the final day at Aintree behind Minellacelebration. Stepping up in journey and a unique observe will swimsuit him, however he’s nonetheless received 11st 7lbs and I believed he seemed sluggish.
I’m going to go for an older horse, which most likely contradicts what I simply stated, however I feel PERFECT CANDIDATE has gained round right here earlier than and he loves excessive journeys, Paddy Brennan is using mushy floor very well, he is aware of the place the successful submit is and I’m going to go for one older horse to beat one other outdated horse.
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widget, whereas in-copy odds are correct at time of publication however topic to alter
Ruby Walsh wager abstract – Saturday, November 21
Naas
12.30pm – Call Me Lyreen
1.02pm – Fakir Doudairies
1.37pm – Dinard Rose
Haydock
1.50pm – Arrivederci
2.25pm – The Jam Man
3.00pm – Lostintranslation
3.35pm – Perfect Candidate
Ascot
2.05pm – Itchy Feet
2.40pm – Laurina
3.17pm – Marracudja
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